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HFMarkets (hfm.com): Market analysis services. - Страница 45

HFblogNews

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Date: 24th June 2026.

Weekly Market Briefing: Stocks Stabilise as Traders Watch AI, Oil, and Fed Data.


Weekly Market Briefing: Stocks Stabilize as Traders Watch AI, Oil, and Fed Data

Global markets are attempting to stabilise after Tuesday’s sharp technology-led sell-off, with traders now focused on whether the recent weakness is a short-term correction or the beginning of a deeper pullback.

The main event today is Micron Technology’s earnings, which could provide an important signal on whether demand for AI infrastructure remains strong enough to support the recent rally in technology and semiconductor stocks.

Key Market Movers

  • Global stocks stabilise after Tuesday’s tech-led rout.
  • S&P 500 futures rise 0.2%, while NASDAQ 100 futures gain 0.5%.
  • The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index plunged 7.9% on Tuesday.
  • Micron fell 13% ahead of its earnings report.
  • The US Dollar climbed towards a seven-month high.
  • Gold fell below $4,100 as the stronger Dollar weighed.
  • Oil traded near four-month lows as Strait of Hormuz traffic improved.
  • Treasuries steadied as lower oil prices eased inflation concerns.
  • Traders now await Thursday’s US personal spending data.

Technology and AI Stocks Remain the Main Market Focus

Technology stocks remain under pressure after Tuesday’s sharp sell-off. The Nasdaq 100 fell 3.3%, while the S&P 500 declined 1.4%.

The biggest pressure came from semiconductor stocks, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index falling 7.9%. All 30 members of the index closed lower as investors questioned whether the AI-driven rally has become overextended.

Micron Technology, Marvell Technology, and On Semiconductor were among the biggest losers. Micron alone fell 13% ahead of its quarterly earnings, making its results one of the most important events of the week.

A strong outlook from Micron could help restore confidence in the AI trade. However, weak guidance could increase concerns that valuations in the sector have moved too far, too fast.



2026-06-24 10_22_47-41023261_ HFMarketsSV-Demo Server - HF Markets (SV) Ltd. - [US100.F,H4]



Global Equities Attempt to Recover

After Tuesday’s rout, global stocks found some stability. The MSCI All Country World Index was little changed after falling 1.7% in the previous session.

Asian equities also steadied, with South Korea’s KOSPI rebounding around 3% after a 10% plunge on Tuesday. Samsung Electronics supported the recovery following reports that the company may announce a share buyback.

In the US, S&P 500 futures rose 0.2%, while NASDAQ 100 futures climbed 0.5%. European equity futures were broadly stable.



US Dollar Strengthens, Gold Falls

The US Dollar remained strong, with a key Dollar gauge rising towards a seven-month high.

The stronger Dollar placed pressure on gold, which fell for a second day and traded below $4,100 an ounce. Gold remains sensitive to Dollar strength, Treasury yields, and changing expectations around Federal Reserve policy.



2026-06-24 10_27_02-41023261_ HFMarketsSV-Demo Server - HF Markets (SV) Ltd. - [EURUSD,Weekly]



Oil Falls as Middle East Supply Concerns Ease

Oil prices continued to decline, trading near four-month lows.

Brent crude fell below $77 per barrel, while WTI traded close to $72.50. Prices came under pressure as more tanker traffic became visible through the Strait of Hormuz following the interim peace agreement between the US and Iran.

Although uncertainty remains over the durability of the agreement, improving shipping activity has reduced some of the geopolitical risk premium that had previously supported oil prices.

Lower oil prices also helped ease some inflation concerns, reducing pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates aggressively.

Treasuries Steady as Traders Watch Fed Signals

Treasuries steadied after gaining on Tuesday. The equity sell-off and falling oil prices were viewed as reducing some of the inflation pressure that had recently pushed yields higher.

The 10-year Treasury yield was little changed around 4.49%.

An auction of 2-year Treasury notes drew strong demand, suggesting investors remain willing to buy US government debt despite uncertainty around future Fed policy.

Traders will now focus on Thursday’s US personal spending data for further clues on inflation, consumer strength, and the Fed’s next steps.

Corporate Highlights

Several corporate developments also attracted attention:

  • FedEx reported quarterly earnings above expectations and said profit should grow this year.
  • SpaceX attracted around $89 billion of demand for its debut US bond sale.
  • SoftBank’s Masayoshi Son said he plans to remain at the top of the company for another decade or more.
  • Chinese AI model maker Zhipu is reportedly considering a Hong Kong share sale after a major rally since listing.
  • ByteDance is in talks with banks for a potential $20 billion borrowing as it continues investing in AI.
  • Goldman Sachs’ equity trading business is reportedly on track for another strong quarter.
  • Apollo Global Management is again limiting withdrawals from its largest non-traded private credit fund.

Other Market Moves

Bitcoin rose 0.7% to around $62,815, while Ether gained 0.6% to around $1,672.

In currencies, the euro slipped to around $1.1368, while the yen was little changed near 161.61 per Dollar.

In commodities, gold traded near $4,074, while WTI crude fell to around $72.50.

What Traders Should Watch Next

  • Micron Technology earnings
  • NASDAQ and semiconductor sector reaction
  • S&P 500 support levels
  • US personal spending data on Thursday
  • US Dollar strength
  • Gold’s reaction below $4,100
  • Oil prices near four-month lows
  • Treasury yields
  • Further developments around the US-Iran interim agreement

Market Outlook

Markets remain highly sensitive to AI sentiment, Federal Reserve expectations, and commodity price movements. While global stocks are attempting to stabilise, the recent sell-off shows that investors are becoming more selective after a powerful rally in technology shares.

For now, Micron’s earnings and Thursday’s US personal spending data are likely to determine whether risk sentiment improves or whether the pullback in equities deepens.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyze the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Andria Pichidi
HFMarkets

Disclaimer:
This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
 
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HFblogNews

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Date: 25th June 2026.

Markets Rebound on AI Optimism as Investors Await Key US Inflation Data.


Markets Rebound on AI Optimism as Investors Await Key US Inflation Data

Markets Rebound on AI Optimism as all Eyes Await Key US Inflation Data

Global markets found their footing on Thursday after two difficult sessions, with technology stocks leading the recovery as investors regained confidence in the artificial intelligence sector. Strong earnings guidance from Micron Technology helped shift sentiment, while easing tensions in the Middle East continued to drag oil prices lower.

With the market's attention now firmly on today's US inflation figures, investors are weighing whether the recent rebound has further room to run.

AI Trade Back in Focus

The biggest story of the day came from the semiconductor sector.

Micron Technology surprised markets by forecasting quarterly revenue well above expectations, signalling that demand for AI hardware remains exceptionally strong. The company said demand for both traditional memory chips and high-bandwidth memory (HBM), which is widely used in AI servers, continues to outpace supply. It also revealed that customers are increasingly locking in long-term supply agreements, giving the company greater visibility over future sales.

The update was enough to reignite enthusiasm across the entire chip sector.



2026-06-25 09_02_02-41023261_ HFMarketsSV-Demo Server - HF Markets (SV) Ltd. - [US100.F,H1]



Shares of Micron surged in after-hours trading, while Asian semiconductor companies followed suit. South Korea's SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics both posted strong gains, with Japan's Advantest and Tokyo Electron also rallying sharply. US futures pointed to a stronger open, with the Nasdaq expected to outperform broader markets.

The latest results also help answer a question investors have been asking for months: is the AI investment cycle beginning to slow? For now, the answer appears to be no.

Falling Oil Prices Lift Sentiment

Another factor supporting equities has been the steady decline in oil prices.

Brent crude has now fallen for a fourth consecutive session and is trading below the level seen before the recent conflict between the United States and Iran. As shipping through the Strait of Hormuz continues to normalise and diplomatic talks show signs of progress, traders are removing much of the geopolitical risk premium that had been built into energy prices.



2026-06-25 09_07_50-41023261_ HFMarketsSV-Demo Server - HF Markets (SV) Ltd. - [USOIL,Daily]



Lower oil prices are generally welcomed by equity markets. They reduce inflationary pressure, ease costs for businesses and consumers, and lessen concerns that central banks may need to keep interest rates higher for even longer.

Not surprisingly, energy stocks were among the weaker performers as crude prices extended their decline.

All Eyes on US Inflation

The next major catalyst arrives later today with the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index.

Unlike the Consumer Price Index (CPI), the PCE measure is the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, meaning today's report could have a significant impact on interest rate expectations.

Markets expect inflation to remain elevated, and another stronger-than-expected reading would reinforce the view that the Fed may need to maintain restrictive monetary policy for longer.

That would likely support the US Dollar and Treasury yields while creating fresh headwinds for Gold and other interest-rate-sensitive assets.

A softer reading, however, could provide investors with some relief and extend today's recovery in equities.

Dollar Holds Firm, Gold Remains Under Pressure

Although the US Dollar eased slightly during Thursday's session, it remains close to its highest level in seven months after benefiting from increasingly hawkish expectations surrounding the Federal Reserve.

Gold, meanwhile, continues to struggle.

The combination of a stronger Dollar, elevated bond yields and easing geopolitical tensions has reduced demand for the precious metal, leaving prices under pressure despite lingering uncertainty across global markets.



Bitcoin Approaches a Critical Test

Cryptocurrency traders are also preparing for what could be a volatile end to the week.

Around $10 billion worth of Bitcoin options are due to expire on Friday, representing more than one-third of all open contracts on Deribit, the world's largest crypto options exchange.

Most of those positions were placed on the expectation that Bitcoin would continue rising. Instead, the cryptocurrency has fallen sharply in recent weeks, leaving many bullish positions out of the money.

That doesn't necessarily mean Bitcoin will continue falling, but it does increase the likelihood of sharp price swings as traders adjust positions and market makers rebalance their hedges.

Many analysts believe the more meaningful signal for Bitcoin's direction will come after the expiry, once much of this temporary positioning has cleared.



2026-06-25 10_16_46-48132278 - HFMarketsGlobal-Demo - Netting - HF Markets (SV) Ltd. - [#BTCUSD,Dail



Japan Pushes for Continued Monetary Support

In Japan, investors welcomed reports that the government wants monetary policy to remain supportive of economic growth.

A draft of the country's long-term economic strategy encourages the Bank of Japan to continue working closely with the government and maintain policies that support private demand. The language has been interpreted as a sign that policymakers are cautious about raising interest rates too aggressively.

The news helped push Japanese equities sharply higher while keeping pressure on the Yen.

Corporate News in Brief

Several companies also made headlines throughout the session.

Qualcomm raised its full-year revenue outlook and unveiled a new AI-focused processor designed for data centres, sending its shares sharply higher after the close.

OpenAI announced its first custom-built AI chip, developed in partnership with Broadcom, highlighting the growing competition among technology companies to build their own AI infrastructure.

Meanwhile, the largest US banks increased shareholder dividends after successfully passing this year's Federal Reserve stress tests.

Looking Ahead

Today's recovery is another reminder that AI remains one of the market's strongest long-term themes. Strong earnings from companies like Micron continue to support the view that investment in AI infrastructure is still accelerating rather than slowing.

Even so, the direction of markets over the next 24 hours is likely to depend less on corporate earnings and more on inflation.

If today's PCE report comes in hotter than expected, investors may once again favour the US Dollar while scaling back expectations for interest rate cuts. A softer reading, on the other hand, would reinforce today's improvement in sentiment and could provide another boost for global equity markets.

Either way, traders should be prepared for another busy session as inflation once again takes centre stage.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Andria Pichidi
HFMarkets

Disclaimer:
This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
 
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